Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28cd80db344bd6c66730c43340c6b168e6a2b5efafb1be636b7ea948e994bdf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 22c | 1,041$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…4e2fbacked Yes | 9c | 680.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 23c | 527.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 436.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 9c | 389.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 17c | 370.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 15c | 352.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 299.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 21c | 244.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 239.66$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 225.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 32c | 223.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 12c | 209.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…ae40backed Yes | 7c | 201.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 76c | 192.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 190.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bd…2bd4backed Yes | 36c | 183.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 23c | 180.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 168.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 17c | 161.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 30c | 158.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f5…d1d7backed Yes | 18c | 147.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 142.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 75c | 141.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 22c | 140.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 16c | 136.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 127.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 124.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 9c | 117.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 9c | 114.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 33c | 113.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 18c | 111.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…5882backed Yes | 29c | 105.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed No | 73c | 100.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 30c | 99.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 18c | 99.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 97.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 75c | 78.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715e…c3b0backed Yes | 21c | 77.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 23c | 77.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 15c | 75.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 25c | 72.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 29c | 70.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…865abacked Yes | 25c | 66.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 78c | 65.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 32c | 64.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 64.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 64.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…9b79backed No | 70c | 62.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 68c | 62.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 68c | 61.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 60.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 23c | 59.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 57.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 54.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 70c | 54.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 32c | 54.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed Yes | 29c | 52.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…6797backed Yes | 21c | 50.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 26c | 50.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…eb43backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed No | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 29c | 48.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7136backed Yes | 30c | 47.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 31c | 45.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 37c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 24c | 44.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed No | 71c | 44.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 32c | 44.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 29c | 40.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…742ebacked Yes | 30c | 36.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 32c | 35.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…0883backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 77c | 31.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…5f66backed No | 69c | 25.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 76c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 79c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 77c | 25.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.