TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PuckChampof PuckChamp, Team Jenz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c1b…ca93backed Team Jenz41c12,921$5,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,237.542161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Jenz53c3,757$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.0550347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp44c3,338$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.5430452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed PuckChamp56c2,549$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.4250353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp47c1,737$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PuckChamp58c1,510$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.681,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Jenz41c1,442$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.661,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed PuckChamp44c1,349$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.8348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PuckChamp68c894.61$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed PuckChamp45c892.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5715050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a9…fc3fbacked Team Jenz20c811.17$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.124325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed PuckChamp75c796.22$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed PuckChamp67c731.58$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7126147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Jenz2c669.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6678516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp75c622.28$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8792056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked PuckChamp51c593.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9414856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Jenz57c563$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.541,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team Jenz39c534.9$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6132756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Jenz47c528.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1481345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp41c473.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4353844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Team Jenz67c446.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed PuckChamp56c444$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.362540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp52c434.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.921,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4c…c8c6backed Team Jenz70c428.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008050%40 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked PuckChamp52c428.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2229350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked PuckChamp33c399.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1110040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp71c353.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed PuckChamp80c303.86$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0442639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Jenz19c296.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Jenz53c262.56$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9618733.2%62 W · 125 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed PuckChamp71c257.43$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.286653%35 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Jenz33c248.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.621,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Team Jenz64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Jenz57c228.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4140644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5f…6219backed PuckChamp75c221.64$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed PuckChamp57c209.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.216055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked PuckChamp50c202.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3114641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Jenz59c199.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9817965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp43c184.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5237253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed PuckChamp76c179.73$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.077341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Team Jenz56c178.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed PuckChamp68c177.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1612559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp77c177.47$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6131052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed PuckChamp45c163.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1558943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed PuckChamp30c156.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4447548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed PuckChamp48c148.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.476341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp57c145.39$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.231,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf034…3a70backed PuckChamp46c139.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.478854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed PuckChamp46c129.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6612065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed PuckChamp41c125.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0821447.2%101 W · 113 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Jenz61c124.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4622562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e4…b74dbacked Team Jenz26c121.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked PuckChamp46c115.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6244049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed PuckChamp36c111.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.126342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp58c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.766545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Jenz68c109.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.051,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Jenz69c106.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3423149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Jenz34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3442146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked PuckChamp30c95.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed PuckChamp44c93.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.187445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Jenz66c93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.959052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Team Jenz63c91.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.853565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed PuckChamp44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.916543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39ce…9378backed PuckChamp31c90.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Jenz20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1764547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp44c81.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7656945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Team Jenz61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.754634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Team Jenz53c74.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7578…926ebacked PuckChamp35c71.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked PuckChamp36c68.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.782740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked PuckChamp44c68.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3366848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…f23fbacked PuckChamp80c66.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked PuckChamp44c65.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.524860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Jenz29c63.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4319449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Team Jenz56c63.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.419340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked PuckChamp46c59.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Team Jenz60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed PuckChamp36c57.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.767247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc59…1b00backed PuckChamp37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Team Jenz61c52.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp34c50.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9952950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed PuckChamp34c48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6814744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209f…7a55backed PuckChamp42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed PuckChamp50c47.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Team Jenz71c46.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed PuckChamp59c41.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.182441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed PuckChamp43c32.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.694055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Jenz42c32.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6825143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed PuckChamp77c31.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.242053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed PuckChamp40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Team Jenz45c28.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0514848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz35c28.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed PuckChamp69c28.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8941632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed PuckChamp36c27.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.786050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked PuckChamp36c27.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.788551.8%44 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Jenz71c26.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Team Jenz61c26.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed PuckChamp63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9512353.7%66 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Jenz60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.056149.2%30 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.