MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fafe913fbde049806ea9502e06ae410e9d289270651e874fe713d6cb305421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Padres | 40c | 49,798$19,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,799.64 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…d15dbacked Braves | 62c | 35,270$21,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,876.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…c2e2backed Padres | 38c | 33,452$12,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,740.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves | 60c | 15,000$8,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,927.27 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 61c | 12,394$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Braves | 61c | 11,500$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.99 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 53c | 5,932$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 62c | 5,212$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 37c | 4,319$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.77 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Padres | 38c | 3,783$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.48 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 62c | 3,522$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.85 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Padres | 39c | 2,803$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.34 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Padres | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…137bbacked Padres | 38c | 1,730$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 37c | 1,504$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 38c | 1,439$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.42 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Braves | 65c | 1,439$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 40c | 973.9$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Braves | 62c | 945$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 49c | 917.15$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.9 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Braves | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 62c | 845$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Braves | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Braves | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 62c | 724.97$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 22c | 690$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Padres | 48c | 525.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Padres | 43c | 518.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 40c | 397.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 57c | 373.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 62c | 360.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Braves | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 9c | 335$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 39c | 329.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Padres | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 58c | 320.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Padres | 39c | 301.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 40c | 299.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Braves | 58c | 285.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Padres | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 36c | 227.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 64c | 226.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Padres | 44c | 186.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Braves | 54c | 184.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Braves | 63c | 158.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Padres | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Padres | 39c | 148$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Braves | 59c | 146.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…8935backed Padres | 38c | 128.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…53a3backed Padres | 41c | 119.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 37c | 109.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Padres | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Padres | 50c | 106.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Padres | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…61a8backed Padres | 39c | 85.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…0f9fbacked Braves | 63c | 82.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 48c | 81.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…042cbacked Braves | 62c | 80.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Braves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…dec6backed Padres | 39c | 80.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…1520backed Braves | 63c | 79.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…8afbbacked Braves | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…c811backed Braves | 63c | 77.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…bc07backed Braves | 63c | 76.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…5976backed Padres | 39c | 75.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6eacbacked Braves | 63c | 75.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…18fdbacked Padres | 39c | 71.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…7473backed Padres | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Padres | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Braves | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Padres | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Padres | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Braves | 63c | 44.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Braves | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Braves | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Braves | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Padres | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…a73dbacked Padres | 38c | 36.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Padres | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0c27backed Padres | 40c | 35.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 58c | 32.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Braves | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Braves | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Padres | 39c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…d033backed Padres | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.