Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fc58984959ad0b289537ae0c324eec8d183a3e8345c44003f6f08fbb8aa7be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aoi Itoof Aoi Ito, Yasmine Mansouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yasmine Mansouri | 3c | 13,115$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yasmine Mansouri | 18c | 1,560$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yasmine Mansouri | 21c | 1,497$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.77 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yasmine Mansouri | 10c | 1,237$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 3c | 1,201$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yasmine Mansouri | 10c | 1,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yasmine Mansouri | 22c | 740$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yasmine Mansouri | 13c | 740$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yasmine Mansouri | 7c | 404.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Aoi Ito | 79c | 304.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Aoi Ito | 79c | 203.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 10c | 197.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yasmine Mansouri | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yasmine Mansouri | 21c | 157.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yasmine Mansouri | 22c | 131.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Aoi Ito | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yasmine Mansouri | 18c | 119$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yasmine Mansouri | 10c | 118.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yasmine Mansouri | 10c | 108.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aoi Ito | 77c | 98.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Yasmine Mansouri | 12c | 89.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yasmine Mansouri | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yasmine Mansouri | 15c | 76.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yasmine Mansouri | 23c | 73.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Aoi Ito | 78c | 70.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Aoi Ito | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yasmine Mansouri | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Aoi Ito | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yasmine Mansouri | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Aoi Ito | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Aoi Ito | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Aoi Ito | 78c | 37.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Aoi Ito | 79c | 37.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aoi Ito | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Aoi Ito | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Aoi Ito | 79c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Aoi Ito | 79c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aoi Ito | 79c | 20.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aoi Ito | 78c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.