TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,022 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc94a…d6c6backed Over46c3,699$1,697 inLost-$1,696.611612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under53c2,070$1,097 inWon+$972.6177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c1,345$739 inWon+$606.33,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over47c1,181$555 inLost-$55531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c733.88$401 inWon+$332.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c293$153 inWon+$139.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c272.73$153 inWon+$1201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over42c211.47$90 inLost-$89.691,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under58c205.71$119 inWon+$86.416452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c203.02$115 inWon+$87.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under54c172.98$94 inWon+$79.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon+$42.598447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over47c51.06$24 inLost-$245955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over46c50$23 inLost-$2355942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost-$2017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under54c37$20 inWon+$17.0225948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over39c32.79$13 inLost-$12.792,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.799455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under54c30$16 inWon+$13.7386656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under54c30$16 inWon+$13.731,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.