Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c711ef10a2289a6c231a1ecdabc78374f6957c5e17da3de67f0aedeb30811a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 77c | 4,014$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.73 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 80c | 2,658$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 2,092$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 20c | 1,932$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 74c | 1,586$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.35 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 1,086$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 27c | 902.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 608.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 511$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 24c | 462.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 25c | 427.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 74c | 407.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 27c | 368.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 256.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed Over | 25c | 209.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 23c | 119.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…8109backed Under | 78c | 102.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…1992backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 55.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 74c | 54.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Over | 25c | 46.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…8907backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Norway vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.