Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fc5431f9c43e0ea0a9c25f0d3421487890bbbcf1979bade2c307c8ef80e1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 2,601$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.29 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 1,942$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 49c | 1,886$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 52c | 1,847$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 1,236$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 53c | 1,007$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 724$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 709.34$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 574.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 454.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 29c | 426.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 50c | 384.35$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 53c | 341.79$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 68c | 338$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 333.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 52c | 298.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Under | 68c | 293.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 51c | 238.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 236.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 28c | 206.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 48c | 128.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Over | 57c | 122.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 49c | 92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 50c | 76.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 54.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 45.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 50c | 44.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 43.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…e163backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…9052backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 26.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…b90fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Norway vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.