Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c5d19d1316d0d91e61d4f06c00b67c7014b403cb44bd2b653627b5f32014bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 26c | 500.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 26c | 420.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 25c | 416$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 75c | 116.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…5e02backed Under | 34c | 94.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 75c | 62.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 74c | 28.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Norway vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Norway vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.