Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae4956488a04649a255705af4ee77ecee8ec1cbf281e77a476ec54171c36639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 42c | 6,316$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 47c | 4,966$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.18 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 3,615$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.86 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 3,403$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.63 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,403$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 54c | 1,934$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.44 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.9 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 39c | 1,343$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 1,297$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 1,203$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 877.57$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 68c | 814.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 682.93$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 2c | 664.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 445$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 385.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 59c | 362.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 55c | 327.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 71c | 290.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 55c | 274.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 265.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 252$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 245.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 62c | 199.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 194.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 6c | 194$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 57c | 191.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 38c | 190.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 149.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 39c | 139.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 25c | 126.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 40c | 119.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 20c | 116$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 26c | 98.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 39c | 95.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 72.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 40c | 58.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 59c | 50.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 73c | 41.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 46c | 38.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 36.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 50c | 28.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 44c | 28.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd597…beb7backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 79c | 21.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 58c | 19.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 61c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.