Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0a7453277e788a6faa1a8cac539cbd5a1f1cff975848242dee26e77eb4ba71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 31c | 518.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 448.27$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 23c | 362.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 34c | 299.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 37c | 298.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 60c | 252.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 53c | 244.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 65c | 181.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 69c | 174.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 13c | 155.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 76c | 153.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 45c | 139.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 138.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 20c | 134.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 129.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 123.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 117.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…c51ebacked Yes | 61c | 112.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 19c | 108.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 108.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 69c | 99.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 75c | 98.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 60c | 96.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 78.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 30c | 78.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 22c | 72.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 31c | 69.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 35c | 68.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 78c | 68.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…9724backed Yes | 51c | 66.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…108abacked Yes | 39c | 63.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…9a69backed Yes | 70c | 62.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 42c | 57.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…2a41backed Yes | 60c | 57.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 55.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…c470backed Yes | 38c | 51.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…7896backed Yes | 20c | 51.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 72c | 50.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 63c | 46.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 64c | 46.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 28c | 45.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 35c | 43.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 67c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 43.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…2dfcbacked Yes | 31c | 41.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 37c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed No | 44c | 40.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 26c | 39.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 52c | 34.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…8eb5backed Yes | 78c | 31.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 58c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 79c | 29.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…70e1backed No | 73c | 29.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 59c | 27.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 26.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b68dbacked Yes | 78c | 24.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed No | 69c | 23.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…57eabacked No | 78c | 23.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 65c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a20abacked No | 77c | 22.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…266abacked No | 63c | 22.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 70c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 64c | 18.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 74c | 18.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 68c | 15.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 72c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 76c | 13.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.