Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b74aae77c903e4346fc2b5bcde240ed091a7e2126516c0d5d1c0fb00e509501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,672$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.91 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 12c | 831.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 45c | 524.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 32c | 405.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 68c | 326.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 290.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 156.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…ef46backed Yes | 78c | 154.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 54c | 139.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 42c | 139.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 63c | 136.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 134.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 62c | 128.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 56c | 124.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 119.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 53c | 115.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…262cbacked Yes | 50c | 111.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 62c | 110.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 109.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 46c | 108.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…7104backed Yes | 33c | 99.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 11c | 98.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 60c | 98.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 55c | 90.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 62c | 89.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 53c | 85.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 82.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 76.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 25c | 76.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 60c | 70.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 68.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 64.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 64c | 63.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 41c | 62.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 62c | 58.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed Yes | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 45c | 52.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 36c | 52.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 37c | 50.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed No | 59c | 48.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 60c | 48.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 66c | 48.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 62c | 48.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 58c | 43.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 25c | 41.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 76c | 40.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 62c | 39.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 31c | 37.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 65c | 36.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 74c | 35.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 51c | 32.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 37c | 31.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 67c | 28.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 60c | 28.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 28.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 63c | 27.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 50c | 27.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 79c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 49c | 25.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…fe76backed No | 56c | 25.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 51c | 24.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 63c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…4342backed No | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…9971backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 55c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…788cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 60c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…7347backed No | 66c | 15.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.