Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Denmark vs Hungary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bab83a39029cc16953117f77db7c74d2847e3367c9a225a5da27f7234522871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denmarkof Denmark, Hungary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hungary | 10c | 2,844$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Hungary | 10c | 1,074$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hungary | 11c | 841.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hungary | 11c | 824.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hungary | 14c | 799.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Hungary | 12c | 760.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hungary | 11c | 506.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hungary | 7c | 467.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Hungary | 8c | 434.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Hungary | 11c | 425.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Hungary | 11c | 403.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hungary | 9c | 328.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hungary | 10c | 327.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Hungary | 12c | 208.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hungary | 11c | 181.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Hungary | 11c | 179.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Hungary | 11c | 152.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hungary | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hungary | 12c | 146$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hungary | 15c | 139.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hungary | 14c | 134.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hungary | 14c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Hungary | 9c | 118.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8506backed Hungary | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hungary | 12c | 112.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Hungary | 16c | 108.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hungary | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Hungary | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hungary | 15c | 78.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hungary | 15c | 71.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hungary | 15c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…6230backed Hungary | 23c | 57.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Hungary | 19c | 54.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denmark | 80c | 48.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Denmark | 78c | 21.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.