Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Syntax (BO1) - Paragon Turbina Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb7011e17e450e343db7d850a7f44e4c23c0d1fb9e2311d86609dc1039073be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 6,508$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked RE.Arise | 69c | 5,081$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.14 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…80b5backed RE.Arise | 70c | 3,000$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Team Syntax | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Syntax | 27c | 890$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed RE.Arise | 79c | 750$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 660.87$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RE.Arise | 65c | 606.5$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team Syntax | 32c | 563$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Syntax | 32c | 563$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Syntax | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed RE.Arise | 33c | 549.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise | 35c | 499.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Team Syntax | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Team Syntax | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Syntax | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Team Syntax | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Team Syntax | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Syntax | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked RE.Arise | 75c | 353.54$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RE.Arise | 51c | 296.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Syntax | 41c | 262.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Team Syntax | 25c | 239.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 238.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Team Syntax | 25c | 217.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 50c | 212$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Team Syntax | 30c | 210.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Team Syntax | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise | 46c | 193$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Team Syntax | 57c | 176.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked RE.Arise | 58c | 160.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax | 10c | 158.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Syntax | 65c | 119.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RE.Arise | 64c | 114.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RE.Arise | 53c | 106.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Syntax | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Team Syntax | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Team Syntax | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked RE.Arise | 65c | 92.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RE.Arise | 62c | 75.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed RE.Arise | 58c | 75.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Syntax | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked RE.Arise | 52c | 60.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise | 60c | 58.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed RE.Arise | 53c | 47.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 48c | 43.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed RE.Arise | 53c | 37.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed RE.Arise | 60c | 30.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed RE.Arise | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…7b69backed RE.Arise | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a0c7backed RE.Arise | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed RE.Arise | 57c | 21.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed RE.Arise | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 106 | 62.3%66 W · 40 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed RE.Arise | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed RE.Arise | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Syntax (BO1) - Paragon Turbina Group Bthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.