South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1832db60e58340c11cfe74f0a8111641d75c84984bddf079eefd9848079ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 47c | 4,941$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 52c | 4,500$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,085$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.34 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,869$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 3,250$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 46c | 2,189$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,920$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,178$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 1,076$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 771.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 396.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 65c | 387.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 324.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 52c | 291$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 277.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 48c | 252.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 206.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 53c | 195.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 64c | 187.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 39c | 163.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 147.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 134.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 61c | 130.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 64c | 129.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 86.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 65c | 79.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 63c | 70.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 62.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 58.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 62c | 55.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed No | 55c | 52.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 68c | 47.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked No | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 60c | 40.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 72c | 40.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 40.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 67c | 39.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Yes | 45c | 39.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 67c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 31c | 36.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 31c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 70c | 27.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked No | 57c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 63c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Independiente (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Independiente won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Independiente won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.