TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dublin: Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrelli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexis Galarneauof Alexis Galarneau, Francesco Maestrelli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Francesco Maestrelli26c4,855$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.436145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Francesco Maestrelli40c3,628$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.4833037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Galarneau71c3,260$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.778,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexis Galarneau64c3,234$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.724,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexis Galarneau58c3,213$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Francesco Maestrelli36c2,813$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Maestrelli46c2,479$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.669,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexis Galarneau67c1,691$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.635,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francesco Maestrelli36c1,610$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.84,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Alexis Galarneau64c1,589$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0653655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Francesco Maestrelli45c1,230$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2830847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Alexis Galarneau63c1,015$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2219052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Alexis Galarneau54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46044552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Francesco Maestrelli40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.862,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexis Galarneau59c848$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.682,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Francesco Maestrelli35c764.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6527724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Galarneau65c638.71$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.528,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alexis Galarneau62c633.66$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.973,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Francesco Maestrelli41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2467,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexis Galarneau63c515$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.574,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Alexis Galarneau60c508.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.591,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Alexis Galarneau59c505.29$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.171,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesco Maestrelli46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Alexis Galarneau60c499.02$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6152152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Alexis Galarneau59c460$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.652557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexis Galarneau63c414.72$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.964,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Francesco Maestrelli28c375.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3722544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Galarneau65c358.63$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.96,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Francesco Maestrelli36c347.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0337235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Francesco Maestrelli7c295.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexis Galarneau71c287.9$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.176,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Francesco Maestrelli38c274.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.46120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alexis Galarneau71c268.92$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.663,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Alexis Galarneau54c244.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6736557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Francesco Maestrelli42c232.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Francesco Maestrelli38c222$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.772,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Alexis Galarneau59c203.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Alexis Galarneau66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6856153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Francesco Maestrelli41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Alexis Galarneau65c196.67$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Alexis Galarneau73c183.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.651,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Maestrelli33c159.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Francesco Maestrelli36c154$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.161,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Alexis Galarneau79c151.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7523954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Francesco Maestrelli28c145.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.371,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesco Maestrelli35c136.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Francesco Maestrelli38c132.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.525,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Alexis Galarneau61c129.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9452155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Francesco Maestrelli32c126.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.362,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Alexis Galarneau63c109$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.111,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Alexis Galarneau72c106.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.385072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Francesco Maestrelli42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexis Galarneau65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alexis Galarneau58c89.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Francesco Maestrelli36c87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3296844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Francesco Maestrelli42c83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.451,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Alexis Galarneau66c78.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.682045%9 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Alexis Galarneau72c77.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7821765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a9…3579backed Francesco Maestrelli32c77.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.944637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Francesco Maestrelli37c68.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Francesco Maestrelli35c67.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4711133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Francesco Maestrelli37c62.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Francesco Maestrelli40c62.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Francesco Maestrelli17c61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Alexis Galarneau67c60.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Francesco Maestrelli33c58.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Francesco Maestrelli33c54.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Francesco Maestrelli41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexis Galarneau66c46.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.767,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Alexis Galarneau56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Alexis Galarneau65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Francesco Maestrelli31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Francesco Maestrelli42c37.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8423427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Francesco Maestrelli28c36.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2743750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alexis Galarneau76c35.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8187060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alexis Galarneau56c35.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.822,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e2…64a6backed Francesco Maestrelli41c34.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Francesco Maestrelli35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Francesco Maestrelli45c33.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Alexis Galarneau61c32.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.734744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Francesco Maestrelli33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Alexis Galarneau65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7710841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alexis Galarneau60c28.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.383,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Alexis Galarneau64c25.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3111968.9%82 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae63…9dcdbacked Alexis Galarneau62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8120552.2%107 W · 98 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Alexis Galarneau65c25.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexis Galarneau59c25.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Francesco Maestrelli41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Alexis Galarneau68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.