TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd3e2…64a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.1
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Sebastian Gomezbacked Juan Sebastian Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Nottingham 2: Roman Safiullin vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+128%+$45.47
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Dublin: Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardtbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.08
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Feverbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$55.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$41.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.