MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db9bb13c3ae816d1fe041ff1881d08d58bd21c1bf50ea3b5694feb9f9a75b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Eaglesof KT Wiz, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 795.76$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed KT Wiz | 49c | 646.75$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 599.92$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 410$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked KT Wiz | 12c | 404.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 8c | 401.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 71c | 231.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…dcb5backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 147.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 143.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 48c | 132.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 132.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 129.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 96.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 80.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…879cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 72.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 22c | 72.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed KT Wiz | 49c | 69.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…a166backed Hanwha Eagles | 54c | 66.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Hanwha Eagles | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Hanwha Eagles | 53c | 49.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed KT Wiz | 64c | 39.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed KT Wiz | 55c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed KT Wiz | 48c | 26.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed KT Wiz | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Hanwha Eagles | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…31bebacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…959fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 73c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.