Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc3535fd3eac1f7317cd625c40ef8e42eaacbdc4bc5f07689a08766d3c408d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof OG, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed OG | 67c | 17,951$12,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,030.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 12,071$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.29 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 53c | 9,395$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,499$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.1 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed OG | 66c | 3,414$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.28 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 2,146$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.36 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,649$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.34 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,587$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.13 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,524$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.53 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,506$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,495$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,396$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,376$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 906.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.04 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 839.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.12 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 830$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked OG | 38c | 785.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 734.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 52c | 723.51$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 707.61$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.42 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed OG | 67c | 699.98$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 684.58$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 555.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 64c | 489.35$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 488.89$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 430.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 40c | 424$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 8c | 416.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 399.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 398.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 355$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG | 66c | 329.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed OG | 10c | 308$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed OG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 294.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked OG | 46c | 259.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 233.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 185.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 179.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 64c | 176.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 174.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked OG | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed OG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed OG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…1f6ebacked OG | 13c | 128.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 125.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 11c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 103$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 97.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 59c | 94.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…359abacked OG | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 72.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 69.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed OG | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 45.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed OG | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed OG | 37c | 28.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 24.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked OG | 44c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.