Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carol Zhao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ddf6d2d43e0c3a9c29b17ed7971e097b27c1511c77d47b121ca6e97bd3d8138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Lucrezia Stefanini, Carol Zhao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Carol Zhao | 6c | 34,413$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.71 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Carol Zhao | 4c | 7,636$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.38 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carol Zhao | 19c | 2,940$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.63 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carol Zhao | 20c | 1,633$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Carol Zhao | 13c | 1,529$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Carol Zhao | 2c | 1,148$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carol Zhao | 7c | 980.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 681.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Carol Zhao | 16c | 661$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Carol Zhao | 17c | 581.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Carol Zhao | 17c | 511.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carol Zhao | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Carol Zhao | 7c | 440.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Carol Zhao | 21c | 409.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Carol Zhao | 5c | 405.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Carol Zhao | 15c | 368.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 301.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 230.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Carol Zhao | 22c | 230.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Carol Zhao | 22c | 230.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Carol Zhao | 20c | 196.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Carol Zhao | 19c | 181.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carol Zhao | 11c | 175.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Carol Zhao | 22c | 161.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Carol Zhao | 19c | 160.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 80c | 157.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Carol Zhao | 20c | 150.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Carol Zhao | 11c | 138.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 138.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 138.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Carol Zhao | 22c | 133.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 133.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 129.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 80c | 110.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Carol Zhao | 20c | 102.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…86f9backed Carol Zhao | 12c | 88.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Carol Zhao | 21c | 70.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Carol Zhao | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Carol Zhao | 20c | 63.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Carol Zhao | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carol Zhao | 18c | 59.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 79c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 79c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carol Zhaothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Stefanini vs ZhaoStefanini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.