TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Nemiga Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming35c4,528$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.691,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx63c4,049$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Nemiga Gaming42c2,499$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.693767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Lynx63c2,326$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7615650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx62c1,891$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.411,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Lynx59c1,658$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Nemiga Gaming33c1,443$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9815151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming38c1,122$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.642,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx70c1,092$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.241,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx61c1,049$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Nemiga Gaming47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe82c…5794backed Nemiga Gaming40c875.68$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Team Lynx70c777.17$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6910571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx52c764.99$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.295342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Nemiga Gaming45c754.97$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.416544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Nemiga Gaming32c701.46$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Nemiga Gaming45c672.1$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nemiga Gaming40c578.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2914747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Nemiga Gaming41c574.54$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.337231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Lynx58c558.71$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7423342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming44c543.12$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…895dbacked Team Lynx64c537.75$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Lynx63c522.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked Nemiga Gaming40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx55c444.28$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4270052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Nemiga Gaming47c366.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.534740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked Team Lynx73c354.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.623158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Team Lynx57c317.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1317954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Nemiga Gaming30c312.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.228542.4%36 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx76c300$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.361,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nemiga Gaming14c297.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.378641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Lynx67c294.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6623555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx66c282.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…9476backed Team Lynx73c269.92$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.125541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Team Lynx61c267.44$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3529347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming29c259.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5546150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming27c259$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8236138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx66c247.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Team Lynx64c230.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.772479.2%19 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Team Lynx69c215.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7213145%59 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523b…cd5abacked Team Lynx60c204.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx60c201.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8318952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Lynx60c195.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7732148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Nemiga Gaming40c185.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4331835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx72c178.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Lynx65c177.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1261057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Team Lynx57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga Gaming28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Team Lynx59c169.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.757657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4d…c6a6backed Team Lynx58c169.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked Nemiga Gaming47c165.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Lynx58c149.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8122643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Nemiga Gaming42c144.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.627236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x525d…1f1bbacked Team Lynx62c133.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.572240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Team Lynx57c128.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx59c111.27$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6213152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming30c110.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.011,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6489…3a86backed Nemiga Gaming27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nemiga Gaming29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Nemiga Gaming38c98.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.539543.2%41 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx74c98.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8874549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Nemiga Gaming44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5245061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Nemiga Gaming43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5340745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef87…a71dbacked Nemiga Gaming15c96.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.235650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…d0fdbacked Nemiga Gaming35c81.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.843240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Nemiga Gaming39c74.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.98550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Nemiga Gaming39c69.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.348352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming41c69.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d4…d353backed Team Lynx72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga Gaming33c66.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.935669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx56c66.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2633854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming17c64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx56c63.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.930647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Team Lynx61c62.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.392572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx68c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3135032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx68c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3169033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Team Lynx67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.87954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Team Lynx60c59.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx68c58.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Team Lynx68c58.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.754949%24 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Team Lynx68c57.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.297152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Team Lynx56c53.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.712759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Nemiga Gaming44c53.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Team Lynx52c52.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…c31cbacked Team Lynx64c51.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Lynx58c50.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1725457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nemiga Gaming45c50.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6326050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed Team Lynx62c49.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6513262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Team Lynx57c48.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9518347%86 W · 97 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Nemiga Gaming34c46.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9915942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Team Lynx52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0828846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Lynx69c45.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nemiga Gaming45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5825349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Nemiga Gaming37c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4358152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Nemiga Gaming40c38.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4265441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming36c36.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3324518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Team Lynx67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.079956.6%56 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Nemiga Gaming38c34.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1626958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Team Lynx57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf883…b8b4backed Team Lynx57c33.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6218764.7%121 W · 66 L+17.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.