MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7aa9ebf67bf7c61764da3e66871f6a8314eba697e13d7f16ed19bc3cd37818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 47,215$23,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,530.59 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 21,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 15,429$7,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,683.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 4,262$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 65c | 2,416$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 37c | 808.63$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 51c | 490.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 36c | 433.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 428.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 47c | 389.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 320$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 318.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 315.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 25c | 245$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 39c | 241.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 54c | 237.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 233.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 198$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over | 19c | 149$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 114.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 99.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Under | 50c | 97.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 50c | 80.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 66c | 74.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 73.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 50.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 78c | 47.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 51c | 47.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…b9d9backed Over | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.