Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30056989c6122c3dce8b95c901c1803f7a9bcfc055d89b90ac53c6250a9760dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 25c | 1,074$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 781 | 51.9%405 W · 376 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 56c | 720.32$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 2,299 | 17.8%409 W · 1,890 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 37c | 587.35$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 57c | 451.61$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.22 | 508 | 46.1%234 W · 274 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 418.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…ee2fbacked No | 7c | 383.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 29c | 308.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 269.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 56c | 265.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 260 | 61.5%160 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 17c | 236.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3,939 | 23.2%913 W · 3,026 L | +125.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 75c | 218.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 11c | 216$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed No | 20c | 177.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…3e91backed No | 60c | 167.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…783abacked Yes | 72c | 150.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 49c | 141.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 985 | 13.8%136 W · 849 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 34c | 137.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…bdeabacked Yes | 61c | 135.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 67c | 134.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 144 | 32.6%47 W · 97 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 37c | 121.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 44c | 120.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 118.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 58c | 117.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 117.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…3a46backed No | 17c | 113.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 113.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a036backed No | 71c | 112.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 38c | 109.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1,189 | 38.2%454 W · 735 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 28c | 108.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 48c | 107.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 27c | 105.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 300 | 41%123 W · 177 L | +26.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…d955backed No | 28c | 103.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…c7f5backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 90.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1,330 | 34.1%453 W · 877 L | +45.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked No | 55c | 88.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 87.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 55c | 86.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 665 | 21.8%145 W · 520 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 86.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 73c | 84.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 221 | 60.6%134 W · 87 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 81.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 2,240 | 49.3%1,104 W · 1,136 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 52c | 80.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 63c | 79.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…545abacked No | 64c | 78.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 40c | 75.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 59c | 74.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 371 | 48.5%180 W · 191 L | +25.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 71.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 241 | 58.5%141 W · 100 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 65c | 68.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 34c | 66.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 401 | 42.4%170 W · 231 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 51c | 65.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 470 | 47.2%222 W · 248 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 37c | 65.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 65c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 886 | 60.7%538 W · 348 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 76c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…a89ebacked Yes | 46c | 63.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 55c | 63.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 56c | 62.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 74c | 62.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 484 | 46.1%223 W · 261 L | +45.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a11…e55dbacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 52c | 55.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 69c | 55.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 73c | 55.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 697 | 58.4%407 W · 290 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 52.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 36c | 51.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 34c | 49.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 50c | 48.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 40c | 47.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…edcbbacked Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 275 | 65.5%180 W · 95 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 202 | 55.4%112 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 3,201 | 53.6%1,716 W · 1,485 L | -101.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 722 | 33.4%241 W · 481 L | +32.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…dba5backed Yes | 78c | 38.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 51c | 37.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed No | 59c | 37.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 245 | 68.2%167 W · 78 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 47c | 35.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…98d2backed Yes | 69c | 34.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…795bbacked Yes | 33c | 34.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 34c | 34.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 55c | 33.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 38c | 33.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 39c | 32.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…f600backed Yes | 32c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…4d6dbacked Yes | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +18.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,065 | 35.1%374 W · 691 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…4356backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…b63abacked Yes | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 70c | 29.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 36c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked Yes | 75c | 27.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 161 | 66.5%107 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked No | 56c | 27.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 578 | 27.9%161 W · 417 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.