Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras: Maja Chwalinska vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308f094b2f554b8da44feeab5add82d31d6ce61a9733a028c35068c4725584f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vidmanovaof Chwalinska, Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vidmanova | 49c | 7,269$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vidmanova | 48c | 7,110$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chwalinska | 43c | 4,632$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chwalinska | 49c | 3,088$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Vidmanova | 49c | 3,011$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.74 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Chwalinska | 42c | 2,604$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.15 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Chwalinska | 46c | 2,175$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.66 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Chwalinska | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Chwalinska | 59c | 1,096$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Chwalinska | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Chwalinska | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Chwalinska | 45c | 880$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Chwalinska | 24c | 660.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Chwalinska | 49c | 527.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Vidmanova | 61c | 410$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Chwalinska | 43c | 377.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Chwalinska | 36c | 358.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chwalinska | 51c | 264.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Chwalinska | 46c | 206.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Vidmanova | 70c | 202.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Chwalinska | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vidmanova | 54c | 156.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Chwalinska | 37c | 156.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chwalinska | 59c | 152.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Chwalinska | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Vidmanova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Chwalinska | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Chwalinska | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vidmanova | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Chwalinska | 73c | 85.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Vidmanova | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Vidmanova | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Chwalinska | 58c | 66.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Chwalinska | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Chwalinska | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chwalinska | 42c | 55.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Vidmanova | 38c | 52.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Chwalinska | 64c | 50.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Chwalinska | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Chwalinska | 61c | 50.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Chwalinska | 65c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Chwalinska | 75c | 37.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Vidmanova | 44c | 33.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Chwalinska | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Vidmanova | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Chwalinska | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vidmanova | 57c | 28.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…5d1dbacked Chwalinska | 68c | 26.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chwalinska | 61c | 24.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Chwalinska | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Chwalinska | 63c | 22.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chwalinska | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Vidmanova | 53c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vidmanova | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras: Maja Chwalinska vs Darja Vidmanovathis page
- Chwalinska vs. Vidmanova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.