South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ef712ba047017a454435b2ff1d9784fa64c25ce29eca794112a3979bb83a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 6,141$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 3,268$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 3c | 2,188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 75c | 1,477$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.03 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 1,379$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 13c | 1,133$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 946.93$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 72c | 827.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 779.47$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 26c | 719$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 38c | 588.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 39c | 427.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 13c | 333.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 311.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 23c | 215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 40c | 191.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 191.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 11c | 183$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 138.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 124.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 37c | 122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 40c | 97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 73c | 86.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 84.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 84.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 61.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 61c | 51.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed No | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 40c | 48.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 44.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 63c | 27.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 71c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.