South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b4772452c54bac7257c25d34ff66d9fdb0f143ed7c34ab586fcb8d6a38ae12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 3c | 14,303$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.53 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,540$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.8 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 42c | 3,148$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.41 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 3,141$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 28c | 2,638$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.61 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 53c | 2,433$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.32 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 2c | 1,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,750$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 1,638$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,527$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.17 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 44c | 1,331$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.51 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 1,162$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,145$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.1 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 14c | 816.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 46c | 633.59$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 2c | 525$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 43c | 516.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked No | 14c | 465.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 435$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 350.26$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 80c | 325.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 13c | 277.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 13c | 261.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 20c | 233.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 14c | 203.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 175$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 42c | 147.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 144.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 138.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 71c | 135.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 33c | 130.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 22c | 129.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 17c | 121.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 102.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 79.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 30c | 78.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 21c | 74.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 72c | 68.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 23c | 47.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 26c | 46.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 44.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 33c | 40.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 37.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 28c | 37.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 63c | 30.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 80c | 28.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 53c | 25.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.