Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Jay Clarke vs Louis Wessels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31226f691df7416dc3e2f0021c676d1e5231ac36548407499a796faff90341f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louis Wesselsof Jay Clarke, Louis Wessels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louis Wessels | 20c | 15,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,029.82 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 3,531$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.29 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Louis Wessels | 24c | 3,132$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.71 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jay Clarke | 77c | 2,106$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.9 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jay Clarke | 78c | 2,022$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.8 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 1,365$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.47 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jay Clarke | 54c | 1,347$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.01 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Louis Wessels | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Jay Clarke | 76c | 1,010$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.77 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Clarke | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jay Clarke | 78c | 563.05$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.16 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louis Wessels | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Jay Clarke | 56c | 419.79$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Louis Wessels | 22c | 394.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Jay Clarke | 79c | 392.51$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Louis Wessels | 12c | 388.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 371$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Louis Wessels | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jay Clarke | 24c | 324$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jay Clarke | 39c | 302.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 256.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Louis Wessels | 14c | 217.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Jay Clarke | 70c | 214.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Jay Clarke | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Louis Wessels | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jay Clarke | 75c | 170.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jay Clarke | 37c | 169.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Louis Wessels | 16c | 167.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Louis Wessels | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Louis Wessels | 45c | 130.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Jay Clarke | 30c | 122.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 101.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Jay Clarke | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jay Clarke | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jay Clarke | 30c | 87.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Louis Wessels | 44c | 86.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Louis Wessels | 52c | 84.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Jay Clarke | 36c | 79.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Louis Wessels | 52c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 74.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Louis Wessels | 37c | 72.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 441 | 44.7%197 W · 244 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Louis Wessels | 40c | 66.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Jay Clarke | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jay Clarke | 77c | 64.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…6b7cbacked Louis Wessels | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…5131backed Louis Wessels | 28c | 57.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jay Clarke | 75c | 54.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Louis Wessels | 72c | 53.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Jay Clarke | 27c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Jay Clarke | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Jay Clarke | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jay Clarke | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Louis Wessels | 41c | 38.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Jay Clarke | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Jay Clarke | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Jay Clarke | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 69.1%179 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jay Clarke | 76c | 24.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…6650backed Louis Wessels | 77c | 23.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 80 | 77.5%62 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Louis Wessels | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 327 | 55%180 W · 147 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Jay Clarke | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Louis Wessels | 63c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Jay Clarke | 68c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.