Us Politics · resolved market
Another US military action against Iran before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3130f2b44d0dfc2df1fd097014da7d8aa95f9553575f5dbbc601ff534a573161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 55,342$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.67 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…536dbacked Yes | 6c | 12,166$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 9,949$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.92 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 9,873$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e23…5411backed Yes | 8c | 9,122$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 5c | 7,741$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.34 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 2c | 6,809$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…84f9backed Yes | 2c | 6,016$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…547ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,516$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,329$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…db96backed Yes | 5c | 4,744$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,578$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,188$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,942$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 3,835$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 11c | 3,200$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 3c | 2,862$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,813$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,800$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,474$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,894$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…8644backed Yes | 5c | 1,864$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,756$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…d709backed Yes | 6c | 1,679$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…79eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,611$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…985abacked Yes | 3c | 1,444$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 10c | 1,437$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,354$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…ed3abacked Yes | 10c | 1,318$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…bb30backed Yes | 11c | 1,300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…b3ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…d43dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,127$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa915…b244backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…290fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,052$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…7e34backed Yes | 4c | 1,048$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,040$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…ca56backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…30c2backed Yes | 2c | 954.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…6b4fbacked Yes | 2c | 877.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 5c | 871.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…c28bbacked Yes | 12c | 843.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…0acbbacked Yes | 2c | 808.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 3c | 785.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 739.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…264fbacked Yes | 8c | 730.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…4e18backed Yes | 2c | 657.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 6c | 621.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…98cebacked Yes | 2c | 614.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…ac8fbacked Yes | 10c | 604.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 7c | 503.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…aaffbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…867abacked Yes | 10c | 446.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 444.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e2e4backed Yes | 7c | 374.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 3c | 359.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 9c | 349.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +164%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…0b91backed Yes | 13c | 347.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked Yes | 4c | 339.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9f4abacked Yes | 10c | 339.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…a14ebacked Yes | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…a8c0backed Yes | 6c | 333.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…243dbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…4bedbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…f669backed Yes | 5c | 258.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…f720backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…3969backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 249$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…7368backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…4ad3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…935fbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…b53fbacked Yes | 7c | 163.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…733dbacked Yes | 10c | 129.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 8c | 127.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…4292backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d6…9530backed Yes | 12c | 121.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…0f7cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…2918backed Yes | 12c | 95.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…2dbdbacked Yes | 12c | 94.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.