TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team WE54c25,177$13,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,581.3657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c6,008$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.41,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team WE53c5,125$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.1154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Team WE55c4,519$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.567958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas47c4,210$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.745041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team WE54c3,476$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.7221754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c3,216$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.161,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE49c1,887$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.5877949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c1,857$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2344550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Team WE54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8520649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Team WE49c1,130$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.385651.8%29 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1832457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas44c940$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.652538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas43c795.14$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.41,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed Team WE55c650$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.511246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team WE54c591.28$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c580.98$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26156432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Team WE49c547$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.14151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Ninjas in Pyjamas43c501.63$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Team WE55c450.57$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.057558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Team WE49c430$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.38058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas48c414.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team WE51c400$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team WE57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8821559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas45c322.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.066858.8%40 W · 28 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ninjas in Pyjamas43c319.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c311.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Team WE55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9913551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Team WE55c258$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.133153.2%176 W · 155 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…bcdebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c241.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.712065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Team WE40c209.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c187.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team WE57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Team WE49c173.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1629948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Team WE49c168$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c150.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3464749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Team WE49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Ninjas in Pyjamas46c144.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE51c139.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas68c138.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3244046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c131.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6718257.1%104 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6646…0c6ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Ninjas in Pyjamas48c103.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6639859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4363646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e5…03fcbacked Team WE49c95.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+165%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Team WE49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Team WE55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…887cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c89.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc453…31f5backed Team WE56c88.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.669161.5%56 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Team WE49c79.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.529948.5%48 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Team WE57c75.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4447434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Team WE54c71.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1215756.7%89 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team WE41c67.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Team WE49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1345044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Team WE17c62.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.743560%21 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Ninjas in Pyjamas47c62.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.185242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team WE54c57.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ninjas in Pyjamas44c48.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4879745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d20…4313backed Ninjas in Pyjamas47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Team WE55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1839832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Ninjas in Pyjamas44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.644738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0c…ff3ebacked Team WE49c38.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Team WE40c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.885230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas44c37.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas44c37.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2967553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Team WE53c36.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.094259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Team WE54c32.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1753955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c32.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1234357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Ninjas in Pyjamas46c31.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4439445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c00…8c3ebacked Team WE49c28.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Team WE41c28.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5520439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Team WE57c26.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.299448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Team WE43c24.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9326154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Team WE55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6438144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas47c23.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0119656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1478…80debacked Team WE49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Team WE54c21.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0474449.7%370 W · 374 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8dd…8933backed Team WE53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.623855.9%133 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4135…185fbacked Team WE53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.874959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.