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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico State Aggies vs. UTEP Miners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UTEP Minersof New Mexico State Aggies, UTEP Miners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked UTEP Miners66c8,657$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.455,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State Aggies45c2,398$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.892,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked UTEP Miners52c2,384$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.311,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico State Aggies33c2,065$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.641,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed New Mexico State Aggies54c1,568$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed New Mexico State Aggies45c1,417$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.6222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State Aggies17c1,327$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTEP Miners46c1,290$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.522,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico State Aggies23c1,284$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.72,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico State Aggies45c1,048$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.593,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked UTEP Miners61c1,027$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.855556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico State Aggies47c843.52$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.81,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State Aggies62c770$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.111,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked UTEP Miners50c615$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed New Mexico State Aggies50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed New Mexico State Aggies36c532$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed UTEP Miners47c426.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3416056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed New Mexico State Aggies39c411$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.61,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico State Aggies53c314.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.62,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UTEP Miners57c278.67$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UTEP Miners47c262.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed UTEP Miners48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed UTEP Miners57c203.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies58c193.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UTEP Miners24c188.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.091,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed New Mexico State Aggies10c175$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed UTEP Miners9c126.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8911028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed UTEP Miners60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked New Mexico State Aggies57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed New Mexico State Aggies53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5314546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed New Mexico State Aggies51c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UTEP Miners50c97.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.381,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies51c96.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked New Mexico State Aggies53c93.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico State Aggies74c88.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked UTEP Miners47c88.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5724340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UTEP Miners49c83.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies54c59.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.142,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked New Mexico State Aggies22c54.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico State Aggies53c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.583,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed UTEP Miners50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico State Aggies51c47.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.234,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked New Mexico State Aggies54c42.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed UTEP Miners39c41.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed UTEP Miners49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9125436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed UTEP Miners48c33.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4818230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New Mexico State Aggies51c33.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c34…2055backed New Mexico State Aggies62c32.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked New Mexico State Aggies65c31.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UTEP Miners52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7739050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked New Mexico State Aggies75c30.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State Aggies77c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed UTEP Miners52c25.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked UTEP Miners74c20.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed New Mexico State Aggies54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked New Mexico State Aggies50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%18 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.