CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32df752d79d65c0c306e1a8c968f5df5adc869d2c3de2011b0fbb7a9e7973d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof The Last Resort, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The Last Resort | 18c | 2,354$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked The Last Resort | 48c | 693.97$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 565$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed The Last Resort | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked The Last Resort | 9c | 416.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed The Last Resort | 9c | 367$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 324.9$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked The Last Resort | 49c | 312.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked The Last Resort | 23c | 223.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 223$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed The Last Resort | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Last Resort | 14c | 194.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HyperSpirit | 75c | 168.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Last Resort | 25c | 130.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed The Last Resort | 29c | 129$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked HyperSpirit | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 24c | 84.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked The Last Resort | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked The Last Resort | 26c | 71.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked The Last Resort | 17c | 70.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked The Last Resort | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed The Last Resort | 26c | 63.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked The Last Resort | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Last Resort | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed The Last Resort | 37c | 49.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked The Last Resort | 48c | 47.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed The Last Resort | 47c | 38.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed HyperSpirit | 69c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 35.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked The Last Resort | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed The Last Resort | 48c | 32.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked The Last Resort | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 24.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked The Last Resort | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HyperSpirit | 73c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.