Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331c3d5b7807b6794b7af5a19d85f84940e8963c834699aa90dedea666e1d639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 0c | 9,870$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,718$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 12c | 900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 70c | 854.73$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 26c | 528.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 345.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 15c | 333.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes | 23c | 330.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 314.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…fbb6backed Yes | 23c | 289.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 32c | 281.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 19c | 279.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 72c | 277.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 25c | 216.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed No | 75c | 216.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 30c | 211.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 210.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 32c | 202.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 16c | 192.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 26c | 189.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…c278backed Yes | 26c | 184.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 173.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 23c | 171.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 27c | 170.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 33c | 168.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2dbfbacked Yes | 18c | 158.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 19c | 156.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…bb15backed Yes | 25c | 149.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 11c | 146.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 28c | 132.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…f717backed Yes | 11c | 118.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 115.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9671backed Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 21c | 97.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 27c | 97.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 29c | 96.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 17c | 94.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 27c | 92.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…6782backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…e282backed Yes | 26c | 86.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 84.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 28c | 83.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…33d0backed Yes | 29c | 77.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 76.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed Yes | 26c | 70.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 26c | 65.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 63.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…86febacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 40c | 58.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…a1cdbacked Yes | 29c | 56.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 45c | 56.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 55.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…9d2cbacked Yes | 19c | 54.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 23c | 54.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…b2a7backed Yes | 27c | 54.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 73c | 53.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…a835backed Yes | 20c | 52.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 73c | 50.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…1ba7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 26c | 49.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 24c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…9ed6backed Yes | 30c | 47.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 47.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed Yes | 33c | 46.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…ba65backed No | 76c | 45.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 28c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 56c | 41.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 40.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…4636backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed No | 74c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…e37bbacked No | 72c | 39.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…74cfbacked Yes | 28c | 37.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…95bdbacked Yes | 29c | 36.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 78c | 31.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 75c | 29.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed No | 71c | 29.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed No | 75c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed No | 76c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 79c | 24.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…845fbacked No | 75c | 24.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…d304backed No | 75c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…2691backed No | 78c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 61c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 73c | 22.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.