Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336601a9043159f2575b3c775ed1d1e7f5f901b0735791471322bdda91de74b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 3,904$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,873$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 858.81$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 47c | 791.69$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 49c | 430.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 53c | 381$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 50c | 279.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 52c | 256.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 197.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 50c | 164.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed No | 44c | 163.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 134.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed No | 51c | 89.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 40.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 53c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 53c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)FC Metz won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.