Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33920709c854a23703810c3dcc4bcb079352d9e6bd3460afe62b0b7861ab0842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katarzyna Kawaof Noma Noha Akugue, Katarzyna Kawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Noma Noha Akugue | 6c | 6,897$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Noma Noha Akugue | 28c | 2,444$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.69 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Noma Noha Akugue | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Katarzyna Kawa | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.92 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katarzyna Kawa | 74c | 1,381$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Noma Noha Akugue | 25c | 1,261$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 896.06$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 4c | 868$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katarzyna Kawa | 72c | 813.31$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 53c | 650.41$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Noma Noha Akugue | 62c | 648.47$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Noma Noha Akugue | 57c | 615.77$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 54c | 607.5$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Noma Noha Akugue | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Katarzyna Kawa | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Katarzyna Kawa | 54c | 403.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Noma Noha Akugue | 58c | 386.07$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.8 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 38c | 346.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Noma Noha Akugue | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 52c | 290.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 283.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Katarzyna Kawa | 51c | 280.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Noma Noha Akugue | 49c | 259.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Noma Noha Akugue | 29c | 220.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Katarzyna Kawa | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katarzyna Kawa | 74c | 198.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Katarzyna Kawa | 53c | 169.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Noma Noha Akugue | 36c | 168.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Noma Noha Akugue | 70c | 141.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…7d88backed Katarzyna Kawa | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Katarzyna Kawa | 36c | 130.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…1fb7backed Katarzyna Kawa | 34c | 118.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 48c | 117.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…ab04backed Katarzyna Kawa | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Noma Noha Akugue | 66c | 112.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Noma Noha Akugue | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 106.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Noma Noha Akugue | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 60c | 98.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Katarzyna Kawa | 55c | 96.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Katarzyna Kawa | 77c | 95.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Noma Noha Akugue | 25c | 85.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 58c | 72.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 52c | 67.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Katarzyna Kawa | 51c | 67.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 56c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Katarzyna Kawa | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Katarzyna Kawa | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Noma Noha Akugue | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Noma Noha Akugue | 46c | 52.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Katarzyna Kawa | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…1d81backed Noma Noha Akugue | 43c | 47.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Katarzyna Kawa | 60c | 46.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 43.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Noma Noha Akugue | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 37.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Katarzyna Kawa | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Noma Noha Akugue | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Katarzyna Kawa | 75c | 31.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Noma Noha Akugue | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Katarzyna Kawa | 71c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 63c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Katarzyna Kawa | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.