Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b2af14e5b22b0693861b0d301b5bba498111b22b059c5d6b580968f79ff4c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Martin Krumich, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 4,043$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.37 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich | 52c | 2,612$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Martin Krumich | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Martin Krumich | 15c | 1,369$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 1,333$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Martin Krumich | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Martin Krumich | 44c | 814.36$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…57dcbacked Martin Krumich | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Martin Krumich | 14c | 659.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Martin Krumich | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 551.45$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…d3ffbacked Martin Krumich | 20c | 457.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 456.78$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Martin Krumich | 42c | 427.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Martin Krumich | 5c | 385.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Martin Krumich | 13c | 378.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 357.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 329.65$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 236.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Martin Krumich | 42c | 212.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 206.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 197$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 188.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martin Krumich | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Krumich | 25c | 158.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 139.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 139.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 109.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 99.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Martin Krumich | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 94.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Martin Krumich | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Martin Krumich | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 62.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Martin Krumich | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Martin Krumich | 44c | 59.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Martin Krumich | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Martin Krumich | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Martin Krumich | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Krumich | 45c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Martin Krumich | 43c | 28.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 25.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Martin Krumich | 43c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Martin Krumich | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Martin Krumich | 53c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.