Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e0e8a63fde971154555a0f6f9e8ac535adbbf4349047c8f8a50422fa663aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 38c | 331.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 62c | 317$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 67c | 294.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 248.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 245.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 50c | 221.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 57c | 206.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 64c | 199.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 188.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 59c | 183.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 55c | 180.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 55c | 176$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 45c | 167.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 161.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 45c | 160.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 45c | 150.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 55c | 136.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 36c | 127.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 53c | 110.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 108.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 47c | 102.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Yes | 76c | 101.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 100.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 54c | 99.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 43c | 94.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 56c | 80.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 71.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 64.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 62c | 60.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 39c | 56.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 45c | 55.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 52c | 54.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…ddf5backed Yes | 57c | 52.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 56c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 48c | 37.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 35c | 35.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 46c | 34.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 32.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…bd37backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 51c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 26.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 49c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 56c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed Yes | 46c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 65c | 23.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2dd7backed Yes | 47c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.