La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f4a430c5aa9b31bddb2f8c1afdd944401d8c1132ff441562a6f7639b16315b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,578$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.08 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 26c | 2,490$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.81 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 2,275$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.55 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 34c | 1,386$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.39 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,256$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.64 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,250$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.23 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,219$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 777.6$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 357$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 29c | 305.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 24c | 266$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 37c | 235.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 221.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 179.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 168.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 167.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 26c | 147$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 144.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 25c | 142.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 194 | 46.9%91 W · 103 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 142.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 25c | 111.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 74c | 110.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 23c | 105.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…d5cfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 96.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 39c | 90.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 37c | 79.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 74.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 25c | 58.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 57.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 39c | 51.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 36c | 51.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 50.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 36c | 41.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Yes | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4854backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 61c | 27.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 64c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.