NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367565716d527f1c8ed864c6ddca865df35e2760f1be2dc800fd7135caa863ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Lightning, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 38c | 6,982$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.56 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 40c | 5,570$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.32 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 44c | 3,297$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.07 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Lightning | 60c | 3,000$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Ducks | 68c | 2,946$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lightning | 61c | 2,900$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Lightning | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 37c | 1,768$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.23 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lightning | 28c | 1,122$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Ducks | 76c | 1,027$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Lightning | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lightning | 44c | 799.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 60c | 748.59$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Lightning | 38c | 691.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Ducks | 79c | 631.78$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lightning | 2c | 615.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…e488backed Lightning | 64c | 609$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 60c | 608.32$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Ducks | 36c | 607$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Lightning | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lightning | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lightning | 61c | 579.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.76 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 23c | 573.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lightning | 39c | 572.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Ducks | 71c | 523.44$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Lightning | 60c | 505.15$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 30c | 427.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lightning | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Ducks | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 36c | 299.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Ducks | 69c | 289.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Ducks | 38c | 260.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lightning | 39c | 258.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 42c | 239.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 37c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Lightning | 62c | 199.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…2c0fbacked Ducks | 40c | 177.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…82f1backed Ducks | 39c | 170.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lightning | 32c | 151.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 37c | 145.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Ducks | 38c | 131.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…595cbacked Lightning | 63c | 130.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…d30cbacked Ducks | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Lightning | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Ducks | 39c | 122.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 37c | 121.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…3921backed Ducks | 67c | 119.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…0fc7backed Ducks | 39c | 119.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Lightning | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lightning | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…a6e7backed Lightning | 62c | 95.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…109ebacked Lightning | 62c | 94.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe449…57cfbacked Ducks | 39c | 91.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Ducks | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed Lightning | 62c | 86.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…59c9backed Lightning | 63c | 85.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…c60ebacked Lightning | 63c | 80.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Lightning | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Ducks | 70c | 78.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Lightning | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…255cbacked Lightning | 62c | 73.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…2f2abacked Ducks | 37c | 67.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…4953backed Lightning | 63c | 66.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…8db4backed Lightning | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks | 37c | 64.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…520bbacked Ducks | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f6a9backed Lightning | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d77backed Ducks | 79c | 61.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lightning | 62c | 61.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lightning | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6c5abacked Ducks | 37c | 57.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…7e08backed Ducks | 37c | 56.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Lightning | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Lightning | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…9f6ebacked Ducks | 37c | 53.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked Ducks | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…017ebacked Ducks | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…313abacked Ducks | 39c | 51.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…7c92backed Ducks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…2f37backed Ducks | 40c | 50.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…67ccbacked Lightning | 63c | 50.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…4b47backed Ducks | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…2caebacked Ducks | 38c | 46.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Lightning | 45c | 45.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.