TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairfield Stags vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairfield Stagsof Fairfield Stags, Sacred Heart Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05b9…2adfbacked Fairfield Stags51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.3757248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Fairfield Stags50c1,818$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.171,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers28c1,020$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers15c1,000$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.194742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags73c988.51$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.313,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers50c969.29$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacred Heart Pioneers13c953.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.334,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers23c693.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.941,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers50c606$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags71c510.11$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers21c467.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers48c409.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers28c368.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.161,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags52c339.54$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Fairfield Stags50c325.52$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7621347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Fairfield Stags52c320$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairfield Stags74c319.2$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d2…8bd3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers23c233.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed Fairfield Stags77c231.98$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.312055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c230.73$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sacred Heart Pioneers12c228.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Fairfield Stags50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fairfield Stags70c195.16$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Fairfield Stags52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers29c183.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sacred Heart Pioneers24c180$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.441,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sacred Heart Pioneers14c164$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sacred Heart Pioneers28c159.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers23c153.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sacred Heart Pioneers12c141.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers50c139.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sacred Heart Pioneers49c134.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.091,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Fairfield Stags54c132.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9213651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Fairfield Stags75c96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairfield Stags49c93.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.744,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fairfield Stags75c92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.182,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Fairfield Stags49c77.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.518940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Fairfield Stags51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.514553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Fairfield Stags50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Fairfield Stags50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Fairfield Stags50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags51c38.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.872,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Fairfield Stags54c34.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Fairfield Stags62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fairfield Stags80c29.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Fairfield Stags51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4111445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Fairfield Stags68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4123331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Fairfield Stags52c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5810043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Fairfield Stags51c25.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers53c22.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.676459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.