Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d6db96a3fa23c911e0326e50a066581296bb55ebf8d3114c14a2dd801b19ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 972$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 799.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 527$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 402.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 313$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 50c | 286.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 283.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed No | 47c | 99.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 99.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 92.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 61.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 49c | 52.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 52c | 22.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.