Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c201a3e239f40f80e3cecff946b12fa5d0661e49360e1ebb52df7e0a04db70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 4,374$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.83 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 3,880$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.44 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 58c | 2,705$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.14 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,714$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.58 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,579$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,264$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.73 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 1,249$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.54 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 919.03$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 56c | 857.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 47c | 497.03$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 453.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 388.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 347.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 74c | 325.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Over | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 8c | 281.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 58c | 214.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 36c | 187.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 177.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 44c | 168.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 166.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 157.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 72c | 157.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 103.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 84.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 78.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 75.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…6364backed Over | 58c | 51.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 51.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 46.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Over | 48c | 43.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…3d37backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.