Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4264f877e65f1183d9278e30c597a10a21a3e2c4537e18b0eb8fa826ab57f97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 65c | 50,788$33,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,597.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 27,277$15,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,417.71 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 35c | 23,070$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.43 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 23c | 3,831$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.14 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,860$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 2,173$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 1,787$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.45 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 35c | 1,430$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.57 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 1,245$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.64 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 1,184$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.49 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Under | 67c | 1,130$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 22c | 1,032$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 66c | 999.9$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 661.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 35c | 512$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 53c | 503.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 447.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 66c | 376.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 24c | 373.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 347.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 55c | 283.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb2…fedbbacked Under | 37c | 245.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 24c | 240.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 70c | 211.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 35c | 175.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 46c | 113.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 65c | 107.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 61c | 100.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 34c | 95.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 38c | 93.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 54c | 81.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 79.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 35c | 73.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 45c | 61.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 66c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 57c | 52.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 51.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 46.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 34c | 44.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 39c | 43.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 41.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 57c | 35.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 64c | 32.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 34c | 32.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 34c | 29.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…f876backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 60c | 24.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.