Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a01dc8d6d59e3c9ffaba0dd91e39bfd1c23a1b0b6ee26b2ccb29dade5de6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof Atalanta BC, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 61c | 8,199$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atalanta BC | 45c | 4,354$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.16 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 52c | 4,179$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atalanta BC | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 2,393$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 1,864$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 62c | 1,199$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.74 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 46c | 830.45$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 60c | 558.76$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 502.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 387.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 367$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…138fbacked Atalanta BC | 41c | 341.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 274.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Atalanta BC | 54c | 256.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 64c | 213.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 121.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 120.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 59c | 92.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 69.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 33c | 50.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Atalanta BC | 39c | 47.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…259bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atalanta BC | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atalanta BC | 38c | 41.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 39.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atalanta BC | 47c | 37.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atalanta BC | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Atalanta BC | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 59c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.