Asian League · resolved market
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396a7f4bbecabcaa54e9b5315ca7dcec044d0c6ef2bee45f6090cee7de1d0620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 52c | 26,332$13,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,713.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 15,606$8,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.91 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 9,775$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 3,513$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.94 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,468$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 2,039$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Yes | 5c | 988.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 679.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 576$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Yes | 6c | 519.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 436.13$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 66c | 404.43$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 43c | 382.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 33c | 355.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed No | 57c | 348.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 68c | 287.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…bfbebacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 22c | 182.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 44c | 172.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 152.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 146.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 30c | 107.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 20c | 101.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 49c | 87.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Yes | 32c | 59.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 50c | 47.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 49c | 46.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 50c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 37.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 43c | 37.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 50c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 51c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 50c | 31.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 50c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 50c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…779cbacked Yes | 46c | 22.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.