Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ystad: Madison Sieg vs Lucie Petruzelova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x398e139931ac1c5c5002128b10bed4229a2e9d1455f07784da9d3c589e4afcc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Siegof Madison Sieg, Lucie Petruzelova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 4,893$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.68 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Madison Sieg | 46c | 2,758$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Madison Sieg | 80c | 2,724$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.78 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucie Petruzelova | 64c | 2,673$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.33 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Madison Sieg | 80c | 2,049$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.59 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 17c | 2,027$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.1 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Lucie Petruzelova | 18c | 1,117$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 17c | 1,079$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Madison Sieg | 31c | 692.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.05 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 589.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Lucie Petruzelova | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 52c | 499.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lucie Petruzelova | 18c | 452.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Madison Sieg | 76c | 448.57$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 397.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lucie Petruzelova | 16c | 358.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Madison Sieg | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 17c | 290.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 266.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 15c | 242.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lucie Petruzelova | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Lucie Petruzelova | 20c | 238.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 234.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Madison Sieg | 41c | 229.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Lucie Petruzelova | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Madison Sieg | 62c | 222.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Lucie Petruzelova | 29c | 221.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Madison Sieg | 80c | 220$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lucie Petruzelova | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Madison Sieg | 40c | 166.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Lucie Petruzelova | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 158.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Sieg | 16c | 154.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Madison Sieg | 49c | 129.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lucie Petruzelova | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucie Petruzelova | 50c | 127.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lucie Petruzelova | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Lucie Petruzelova | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 51c | 113.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madison Sieg | 36c | 101.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Madison Sieg | 41c | 95.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 18c | 93.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Lucie Petruzelova | 21c | 91.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Madison Sieg | 64c | 86.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Madison Sieg | 70c | 84.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Madison Sieg | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 72.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lucie Petruzelova | 70c | 70.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 19c | 58.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Madison Sieg | 29c | 56.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Sieg | 57c | 50.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Lucie Petruzelova | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Sieg | 77c | 45.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lucie Petruzelova | 31c | 38.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Madison Sieg | 64c | 35.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Madison Sieg | 62c | 28.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Lucie Petruzelova | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Madison Sieg | 69c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…1e16backed Madison Sieg | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.