Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d89a5f421fba0f4fce6c1eeed048d507d46e58a393836c837643b51e053a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 2,217$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.08 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 66c | 1,510$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.26 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 63c | 973.11$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 707.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 340.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 79c | 294.02$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 259.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 217.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 42c | 174.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 166.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 158.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Over | 65c | 153.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 65c | 127$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 110.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 73c | 104.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 25c | 81.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 77.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 60 | 81.7%49 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 66c | 58.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 30c | 52.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 68c | 46.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 43.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 38.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Under | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Over | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 28.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 65c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 62c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 67c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 67c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.