Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Hanyu Guo vs Maddison Inglis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7c930f48e331b401836276758e5503471125779dc3a3c568735ec7f1bf0a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maddison Inglisof Hanyu Guo, Maddison Inglis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hanyu Guo | 50c | 4,025$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.74 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maddison Inglis | 66c | 2,426$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Hanyu Guo | 29c | 2,289$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maddison Inglis | 25c | 1,744$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maddison Inglis | 44c | 1,743$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Hanyu Guo | 51c | 1,166$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.42 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maddison Inglis | 54c | 1,075$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maddison Inglis | 54c | 796.6$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Hanyu Guo | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Hanyu Guo | 45c | 660.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maddison Inglis | 43c | 557.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.46 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maddison Inglis | 25c | 475.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.61 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Hanyu Guo | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Hanyu Guo | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Maddison Inglis | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maddison Inglis | 73c | 242.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Hanyu Guo | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hanyu Guo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Hanyu Guo | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maddison Inglis | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Maddison Inglis | 42c | 134.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Maddison Inglis | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hanyu Guo | 36c | 129.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hanyu Guo | 41c | 122.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hanyu Guo | 41c | 122.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…d32dbacked Hanyu Guo | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hanyu Guo | 48c | 119.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hanyu Guo | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Hanyu Guo | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maddison Inglis | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Hanyu Guo | 62c | 96.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Maddison Inglis | 45c | 96.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Maddison Inglis | 58c | 70.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maddison Inglis | 67c | 66.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hanyu Guo | 29c | 62.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hanyu Guo | 62c | 60.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hanyu Guo | 76c | 58.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maddison Inglis | 44c | 57.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Maddison Inglis | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Hanyu Guo | 33c | 52.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maddison Inglis | 57c | 51.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Maddison Inglis | 61c | 49.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maddison Inglis | 40c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Hanyu Guo | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hanyu Guo | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maddison Inglis | 39c | 38.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maddison Inglis | 46c | 35.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Hanyu Guo | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Maddison Inglis | 75c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Maddison Inglis | 39c | 30.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Maddison Inglis | 69c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maddison Inglis | 64c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Hanyu Guo | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hanyu Guo | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Maddison Inglis | 75c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Hanyu Guo | 45c | 22.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Maddison Inglis | 70c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Hanyu Guo | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Maddison Inglis | 60c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…24b8backed Maddison Inglis | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hanyu Guo | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Hanyu Guo | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Hanyu Guo | 57c | 17.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe510…3535backed Maddison Inglis | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 114 | 73.7%84 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Maddison Inglis | 76c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.