Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Alice Rame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9b663c8f9c3eab8b77a98c8eba9d57c9d5aebd748a75265bffcc409cfaa3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Alice Rame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Alice Rame | 21c | 36,883$7,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,710.05 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alice Rame | 7c | 19,494$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alice Rame | 6c | 14,855$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.55 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Alice Rame | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 9,573$7,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Alice Rame | 15c | 7,063$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.91 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Alice Rame | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alice Rame | 4c | 6,846$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 5,010$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Alice Rame | 11c | 3,882$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Alice Rame | 10c | 2,183$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Alice Rame | 3c | 2,113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Alice Rame | 18c | 2,020$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Alice Rame | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Alice Rame | 19c | 1,510$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alice Rame | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Alice Rame | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alice Rame | 5c | 952.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Rame | 14c | 877.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alice Rame | 1c | 869.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Alice Rame | 17c | 737.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Alice Rame | 19c | 579.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Alice Rame | 19c | 547.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alice Rame | 13c | 525.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Alice Rame | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Alice Rame | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 485.14$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…489ebacked Alice Rame | 3c | 452.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alice Rame | 15c | 422.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Alice Rame | 14c | 249.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Alice Rame | 19c | 231.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Alice Rame | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alice Rame | 8c | 172.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 161.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Alice Rame | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Alice Rame | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Alice Rame | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alice Rame | 9c | 140.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Alice Rame | 12c | 134.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Alice Rame | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alice Rame | 18c | 72.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 65.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 62.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 43.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 39.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Alice Ramethis page
- Targu Mures: Completed Match: Francesca Jones vs Alice RameYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.