Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Cyprus vs Switzerland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6dc1c6f598f8501cc192329eab06034896aad42aa95044bc26bf016de55684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Cyprus, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cyprus | 25c | 2,071$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.53 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Switzerland | 75c | 1,389$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cyprus | 34c | 1,278$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Switzerland | 65c | 1,105$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.47 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Cyprus | 1c | 957.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cyprus | 32c | 810.89$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Cyprus | 35c | 468$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Cyprus | 32c | 467.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Switzerland | 64c | 450$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Cyprus | 33c | 449.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cyprus | 27c | 425.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Cyprus | 24c | 416.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Cyprus | 17c | 393$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Switzerland | 76c | 390.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Switzerland | 57c | 319.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cyprus | 37c | 308.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Switzerland | 71c | 297$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Switzerland | 65c | 242.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Switzerland | 69c | 208.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Switzerland | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Cyprus | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Switzerland | 75c | 193$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Switzerland | 78c | 181.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cyprus | 8c | 173.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Switzerland | 59c | 170.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Switzerland | 59c | 169.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Cyprus | 25c | 160.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Cyprus | 41c | 157.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Switzerland | 78c | 155.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 193 | 65.8%127 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cyprus | 13c | 142.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4171backed Switzerland | 68c | 128.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…45a9backed Switzerland | 74c | 122.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cyprus | 33c | 119.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Switzerland | 64c | 118.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Cyprus | 27c | 102.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Switzerland | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Switzerland | 68c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Switzerland | 76c | 92.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Cyprus | 24c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Cyprus | 15c | 83.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…cb21backed Switzerland | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Cyprus | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Cyprus | 24c | 67.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Cyprus | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Switzerland | 79c | 57.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cyprus | 40c | 54.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Switzerland | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Cyprus | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…9575backed Switzerland | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Switzerland | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Switzerland | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Switzerland | 78c | 42.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 160 | 66.3%106 W · 54 L | +16.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Switzerland | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Switzerland | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Switzerland | 79c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Switzerland | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…4b3ebacked Switzerland | 79c | 37.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…e457backed Switzerland | 57c | 35.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…87aebacked Switzerland | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…48e4backed Switzerland | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Cyprus | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Switzerland | 61c | 29.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Switzerland | 69c | 27.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Switzerland | 54c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…beddbacked Switzerland | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…af7bbacked Switzerland | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Switzerland | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Switzerland | 78c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…80a3backed Switzerland | 67c | 16.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.