Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Noa Vukadin vs Duje Ajdukovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bbe298980f8aff974bdeeb5ab007aa5846f59b1dbb26dc8149d61f12e25442a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noa Vukadinof Noa Vukadin, Duje Ajdukovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Noa Vukadin | 26c | 4,833$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.51 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 80c | 1,641$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.96 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Noa Vukadin | 26c | 982.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Duje Ajdukovic | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Noa Vukadin | 30c | 656.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 64c | 530.35$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.65 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noa Vukadin | 35c | 405.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Duje Ajdukovic | 13c | 304.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duje Ajdukovic | 71c | 234.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 71c | 228.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 62c | 208.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Duje Ajdukovic | 42c | 187.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Duje Ajdukovic | 76c | 182.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duje Ajdukovic | 63c | 169.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Duje Ajdukovic | 42c | 162$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Duje Ajdukovic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Duje Ajdukovic | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 42c | 141.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Duje Ajdukovic | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noa Vukadin | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noa Vukadin | 55c | 105.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Noa Vukadin | 36c | 104.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 62c | 103.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Noa Vukadin | 16c | 101.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Noa Vukadin | 35c | 91.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Duje Ajdukovic | 43c | 88.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4dc2backed Duje Ajdukovic | 56c | 78.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Duje Ajdukovic | 72c | 71.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 69c | 65.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 63c | 49.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Noa Vukadin | 31c | 40.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Duje Ajdukovic | 51c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Duje Ajdukovic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Duje Ajdukovic | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Duje Ajdukovic | 70c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.