Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc0b5f5378dddd7a9b6b0218559e7a1c42369d101d7d01bc5e184862b3f36a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 22c | 4,113$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.07 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,451$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.9 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked No | 61c | 2,130$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 1,841$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 1,667$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 1,510$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.96 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 1,352$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 1,195$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.93 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.65 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -76%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Yes | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 24c | 320$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 79c | 299.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.97 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 57c | 253.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 211.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 49c | 189.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 32c | 173.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 172.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 164.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 142.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 123.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Yes | 13c | 116.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6ebbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Yes | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 50.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 57c | 26.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 21.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 80c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 80c | 18.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?this page
- Australia to score first vs. Paraguay?No won
- Paraguay to score first vs. Australia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.